Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 108.161668 123.684716 141.461838 163.507722 190.366596 222.357856 2.638501e+02
2025-05-11 86.964997 106.531612 131.169185 165.143552 211.891320 275.722833 3.727971e+02
2025-05-18 74.130102 94.748664 122.310005 163.062973 224.046114 316.027073 4.743855e+02
2025-05-25 66.604402 88.077945 118.213080 165.459134 241.511699 367.074206 6.106446e+02
2025-06-01 59.960969 81.419272 112.708418 164.138090 252.107847 409.149100 7.487842e+02
2025-06-08 54.373201 75.450958 107.175197 161.445420 259.292658 446.642956 8.955124e+02
2025-06-15 51.361184 72.887839 106.377729 166.156541 280.307112 516.845269 1.156826e+03
2025-06-22 46.325613 66.642855 98.897634 158.014026 275.093038 530.564507 1.281830e+03
2025-06-29 43.324475 63.300421 95.758754 157.105503 283.963013 578.699404 1.542009e+03
2025-07-06 40.811314 60.493459 93.176054 156.772019 293.878914 632.904340 1.869995e+03
2025-07-13 40.166806 60.678290 95.733405 166.678232 328.677270 766.462730 2.654693e+03
2025-07-20 39.635419 60.981181 98.499094 177.441049 368.549390 935.932244 3.901236e+03
2025-07-27 37.134828 57.893657 95.131512 175.769804 379.802653 1031.955687 5.044690e+03
2025-08-03 35.231490 55.728635 93.334926 177.438154 401.275828 1182.194995 7.113274e+03
2025-08-10 33.112115 52.971996 90.059220 175.155221 411.126101 1297.306129 9.467538e+03
2025-08-17 31.722795 51.420482 88.972911 177.790844 436.601891 1502.531108 1.436254e+04
2025-08-24 30.075557 49.246287 86.384076 176.337506 449.067122 1661.834445 2.045535e+04
2025-08-31 28.449847 46.985455 83.385704 173.376315 455.849699 1801.990176 2.863942e+04
2025-09-07 27.664766 46.267732 83.542921 178.558256 492.984673 2165.108244 5.519748e+04
2025-09-14 25.800293 43.321552 78.654290 169.604997 475.799673 2165.302386 6.623518e+04
2025-09-21 24.708818 41.823929 76.787645 168.606902 488.900572 2399.782147 1.136147e+05
2025-09-28 23.749443 40.522445 75.232817 168.240585 504.679299 2685.074345 2.230756e+05
2025-10-05 23.639307 40.910845 77.487379 179.132374 572.390155 3568.290562 1.521461e+06